BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Boise State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Boise State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.17 |
32.82 (+0.66) |
45.00 |
46.87 (+1.87) |
39.85 (-7.02) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
437.42 |
420.22 (-17.19) |
506.20 |
511.80 (+5.60) |
466.01 (-45.79) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.70 |
6.44 (-0.26) |
7.59 |
7.81 (+0.22) |
7.12 (-0.68) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.42 |
21.12 (-4.30) |
28.60 |
28.65 (+0.05) |
24.88 (-3.77) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
387.25 |
381.50 (-5.75) |
403.20 |
396.35 (-6.85) |
388.93 (-7.43) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.11 |
6.04 (-0.07) |
5.72 |
6.07 (+0.35) |
6.05 (-0.01) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Georgia Southern |
47.32 |
34.85 |
-12.47 |
82.17 |
70.00% |
W 56-45 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@Oregon |
22.36 |
43.65 |
+21.29 |
66.01 |
15.86% |
L 34-37 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-22 |
Portland State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-14 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
Washington State |
36.58 |
34.82 |
-1.76 |
71.40 |
52.83% |
W 45-24 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Utah State |
63.05 |
26.59 |
-36.46 |
89.64 |
99.90% |
W 62-30 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-13 |
@Hawai'i |
43.71 |
16.87 |
-26.83 |
60.58 |
93.04% |
W 28-7 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@UNLV |
40.69 |
39.05 |
-1.64 |
79.74 |
52.64% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
San Diego State |
45.02 |
13.52 |
-31.50 |
58.55 |
99.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Nevada |
44.29 |
17.69 |
-26.60 |
61.97 |
92.67% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-17 |
@San José State |
43.33 |
29.57 |
-13.75 |
72.90 |
72.06% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-24 |
@Wyoming |
44.82 |
22.83 |
-21.99 |
67.65 |
85.26% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
Oregon State |
41.86 |
29.49 |
-12.36 |
71.35 |
69.83% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
0.04% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
1.08% |
0.04% |
99.96% |
| 8-4 |
8.37% |
1.12% |
98.88% |
| 9-3 |
28.23% |
9.49% |
90.51% |
| 10-2 |
41.20% |
37.72% |
62.28% |
| 11-1 |
21.08% |
78.93% |
21.07% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.00% |
| 4-8 |
0.01% |
| 5-7 |
0.21% |
| 6-6 |
1.84% |
| 7-5 |
8.29% |
| 8-4 |
21.13% |
| 9-3 |
31.58% |
| 10-2 |
25.91% |
| 11-1 |
9.87% |
| 12-0 |
1.15% |