BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Boise State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Boise State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.17 |
32.82 (+0.66) |
42.22 |
42.28 (+0.06) |
42.28 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
437.42 |
420.22 (-17.19) |
480.00 |
460.46 (-19.54) |
460.46 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.70 |
6.44 (-0.26) |
6.98 |
6.93 (-0.04) |
6.93 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.42 |
21.12 (-4.30) |
25.89 |
24.76 (-1.13) |
24.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
387.25 |
381.50 (-5.75) |
383.33 |
367.64 (-15.70) |
367.64 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.11 |
6.04 (-0.07) |
5.79 |
5.62 (-0.16) |
5.62 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Georgia Southern |
46.18 |
29.95 |
-16.23 |
76.14 |
76.04% |
W 56-45 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@Oregon |
29.85 |
36.07 |
+6.22 |
65.92 |
40.03% |
L 34-37 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-22 |
Portland State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-14 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
Washington State |
44.80 |
30.75 |
-14.05 |
75.56 |
72.53% |
W 45-24 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Utah State |
62.84 |
26.27 |
-36.57 |
89.11 |
99.90% |
W 62-30 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-13 |
@Hawai'i |
43.54 |
15.44 |
-28.10 |
58.97 |
95.07% |
W 28-7 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@UNLV |
40.75 |
35.00 |
-5.75 |
75.75 |
59.22% |
W 29-24 |
6-1 |
| 2024-11-02 |
San Diego State |
46.58 |
12.79 |
-33.80 |
59.37 |
99.90% |
W 56-24 |
7-1 |
| 2024-11-10 |
Nevada |
48.92 |
19.46 |
-29.46 |
68.37 |
97.25% |
W 28-21 |
8-1 |
| 2024-11-17 |
@San José State |
43.77 |
24.70 |
-19.07 |
68.48 |
80.59% |
W 42-21 |
9-1 |
| 2024-11-24 |
@Wyoming |
49.71 |
18.62 |
-31.09 |
68.33 |
99.86% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
Oregon State |
52.85 |
18.92 |
-33.94 |
71.77 |
99.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-2 |
0.16% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 11-1 |
99.84% |
0.16% |
99.84% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 6-6 |
0.02% |
| 7-5 |
0.60% |
| 8-4 |
4.86% |
| 9-3 |
18.55% |
| 10-2 |
35.11% |
| 11-1 |
31.08% |
| 12-0 |
9.79% |